Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 871.624197 989.736378 1122.496161 1283.657495 1475.184667 1696.990577 1975.433979
2025-04-13 670.378731 817.021694 997.617676 1239.745994 1561.088816 1980.556967 2582.598087
2025-04-20 583.472013 747.223925 962.459168 1273.002041 1721.591221 2366.075800 3401.523356
2025-04-27 515.078090 684.613285 918.758424 1276.506718 1829.737393 2690.576059 4215.969441
2025-05-04 474.611179 651.680126 907.178589 1318.319121 1995.621112 3133.068837 5354.798156
2025-05-11 441.798116 623.942850 897.021927 1357.235438 2160.413506 3609.409241 6721.720236
2025-05-18 420.540440 609.862758 904.211732 1422.944101 2381.396924 4241.079430 8657.077103
2025-05-25 387.171970 572.798564 869.487115 1410.701470 2456.631560 4608.879816 10167.374308
2025-06-01 354.262360 532.839728 824.901533 1373.402285 2474.982422 4861.286516 11509.457176
2025-06-08 328.580929 502.048800 792.072788 1352.315563 2520.834418 5185.956035 13215.424218
2025-06-15 313.122675 486.681611 783.932161 1376.322361 2665.505500 5784.828899 16096.890515
2025-06-22 290.011310 456.199701 745.702717 1335.618589 2659.434191 6005.102346 17874.527750
2025-06-29 267.671197 426.659355 708.875595 1298.400135 2668.075567 6307.588804 20347.368406
2025-07-06 246.369276 397.480811 670.390133 1253.757361 2654.072977 6557.892822 22916.921158
2025-07-13 236.813172 388.412902 668.765811 1287.481927 2842.380331 7486.746146 29514.945278
2025-07-20 224.798129 373.720367 654.550639 1291.036300 2953.995336 8227.664564 36218.878184
2025-07-27 217.926748 367.930708 657.215681 1333.453316 3183.244243 9490.351394 48111.900306
2025-08-03 211.243308 361.859471 658.551551 1372.937021 3416.370931 10907.736259 64273.927956
2025-08-10 207.369103 360.828933 670.163828 1439.613503 3753.361617 12974.720409 92074.986912
2025-08-17 197.142400 346.428000 651.759458 1427.189633 3835.751807 13983.962252 113249.027858
2025-08-24 185.778884 328.942172 625.060606 1389.340859 3824.567614 14552.710634 131701.743159
2025-08-31 176.578207 315.215776 605.479972 1367.945174 3866.472288 15436.536355 159152.072612
2025-09-07 171.364542 309.272453 602.764541 1392.303819 4081.018903 17434.592656 218372.030425